Taste of Cinema previously did a way-too-early Best Picture prediction list, and to say that the choices were a little off would be an understatement. To be fair, nobody has any idea what the Oscars would look like back in the summer. In fact, people are still pretty confused about what the heck is going on this year. This is one of the most confusing Oscar years in recent memory thanks to the fact that nobody can come up with a general consensus. To be fair, the nominations are fairly consistent, but the actual winners are all over the place.
Luckily, as stated, the nominations are relatively similar across the board. Early critic awards have generally picked out the same crop of movies. As a result, it’s relatively easy to pick ten movies that have a shot of sneaking into the Best Picture category. Picking a winner is a completely different story unless the guilds can actually come up with a similar conclusion.
Still, we’ve finally made it to a point where picking actual nominations is perfectly doable. With that in mind, expect the Best Picture field to look something like this. There could be a few small changes here and there, but these predictions should be relatively close to what people will see when nominations are announced. Check back in closer to the actual Oscars to get a definitive prediction list.
Mudbound has an unfortunate burden to carry; it’s a Netflix original movie. After Almodovar and several other industry giants claimed that Netflix movies shouldn’t be in the running for various awards, movies like Mudbound were sadly thrown under a bus. Though they often carry the same sizeable budgets, big-name stars, and viewership, the lack of a theatrical release has led the more conservative academy → continue…
From:: Taste Of Cinema